Monday, December 1, 2025

Silver Tsunami

 Many posts have discussed demographic trends, especially the decline of births and the aging of the population.

Emily Peck at Axios:

A silver tsunami is washing across our shores, as record numbers of Americans start hitting retirement age. The U.S. isn't ready.

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About 45% of Americans will experience retirement-funding shortfalls if they retire at 65, according to Morningstar's projections from last year.
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.Out-of-pocket medical expenses are escalating, the cost of in-home care is growing more than three times faster than inflation, and an increasing share of the elderly are spending more than a third of their income on real estate too.

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Only about 14% of Generation X (those ages 45-60) have a pension plan, according to the National Institute on Retirement Security.

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.On paper, retirement accounts might make older Americans appear wealthy. There are an increasing number of 401(k) millionaires, after all.

But with costs and debts rising — and lifespans lengthening — older Americans might run out of money, she says, or be forced to severely cut back spending. "We have shades of the retirement crisis right now."

Between the lines: There's massive inequality when it comes to retirement readiness — workers earning more than $150,000 a year contribute nearly 13 times more toward retirement than those earning under $50,000, a report out in November found.
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About 56 million Americans age 65 and older receive Social Security benefits, per federal data.
The lowest-earning workers rely on it. Social Security is the primary source of income for retirees with household incomes below $50,000, according to Transamerica's 2025 retirement survey.

A cut of 20% to 25% in Social Security benefits would have a devastating impact on retirees who rely heavily or solely on those payments," said Kristi Martin Rodriguez, who leads the Nationwide Retirement Institute. "61% of current recipients say missing even half of a payment would leave them unable to survive financially."