Monday, July 28, 2025

Fake Numbers

Many posts have discussed myths and misinformation

 Naftali Bendavid at WP:

President Donald Trump made a promise at a reception last week for Republican lawmakers that was as impossible as it was specific: He would drive down drug prices by as much as 1,500 percent — “numbers that are not even thought to be achievable,” he said.
A price cannot drop by more than 100 percent, but Trump went on to make several other precise but clearly false numerical claims. The cost of gasoline had fallen to $1.99 a gallon in five states, he said; according to AAA, it was over $3 in every state. Businesses had invested $16 trillion in America in the past four months, he added; the entire U.S. economy last year was worth less than $30 trillion.

Trump even congratulated Veterans Affairs Secretary Douglas A. Collins for having an approval rating of 92 percent. In this polarized moment, it is unlikely any U.S. political figure enjoys a figure close to that, and the White House provided no source for the claim.
...
Trump tangled with numbers again last Thursday in an appearance with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell, whom he has hinted he might fire. The president complained that a renovation of two Fed headquarters buildings was expected to cost $3.1 billion, prompting Powell to shake his head and respond, “I’m not aware of that.”

Trump handed Powell a sheet of paper, saying the $3.1 billion figure number had just come out. “You’re including the Martin renovation,” Powell said, looking at the paper. “You just added in a third building, is what that is.” Trump said, “It’s a building that’s being built,” and Powell countered: “No, it was built five years ago. We finished Martin five years ago.”

...

Trump was also specific in the weeks before the July 3 passage of his sweeping budget bill, which extended tax cuts from his first term. If his bill did not pass, he warned on May 30: “You’ll have a 68 percent tax increase. That’s a number nobody’s ever heard of before. You’ll have a massive tax increase.”
He reiterated that figure in a June 26 speech from the White House, adding, “Think of that: 68 percent.”

Financial experts were predicting taxes would go up about 7.5 percent if the legislation failed — still a substantial hike but far from the 68 percent figure. The White House has declined to comment and several fact-checkers tried unsuccessfully to determine where Trump’s number was coming from, speculating that Trump was conflating it with the proportion of Americans who would see their taxes go up.